Prognozowanie procesów ekonomicznych - przedmiot oferowany w języku angielskim 330-ES2-2PPE#E
Wykład (WYK) Rok akademicki 2022/23

KNOWLEDGE

2PPE_W01 - verification: exam

2PPE_W02 - verification: exam

Assessment based on written test exam, 20 questions, 11 questions must be answered correctly.

In accordance with the principles of universal design, it is possible to agree with the teacher the form of the exam that takes into account people with special needs.

Only those who have passed the exercises are allowed to take the exam.

Grading scale:

0-10 correct answers - 2.0

11-12 correct answers - 3.0

13-14 correct answers - 3.5

15-16 correct answers - 4.0

17-18 correct answers - 4.5

19-20 correct answers - 5.0

Introduction to forecasting. Basic concepts - 2h

Review of forecasting methods based on time series (naive and moving average methods, exponential smoothing, development trend models, periodic component models, warning forecasts, autoregressive models, ARMA and ARIMA) - 6h

Heuristic methods and warning forecasting - 2h

Application of forecasting in enterprises - 2h

Forecasting based on econometric models - 2h

Other forecasting methods (scenarios, multivariate methods) - 1h

Lecture with the use of a multimedia presentation, elements of discussion, analysis of case studies - - taking into account the principles of universal design in education.

In the period from January 7 to February 6, 2023, classes are held using distance learning techniques using the eduPortal platform in a synchronous form.